The Chinese Adoption timeline right now from log-in to referral is now 17 months. If this timeline continues it would put us at a referral in January of 2008 (with travel possibly as late as March because of Chinese New Year Being on February 8th–which we cannot travel during because of the extreme busyness. It would be like traveling on Thanksgiving or Christmas in the U.S.).
Of course, things could change. The new regulations for adoptive parents have persuaded or forced many to consider other countries. Those new regulations go into effect May 1st of this year, so any not logged in by that date will have to meet the new regulations. This could cause a bit of a lull in the system and thus allow China Center for Adoption Affairs to be able to catch up a little on their back log–thus bring the timeframe back down a little. But of course, this is all speculation. We currently are just planning on not hearing anything until at least January 2008.